What Makes the Right Betting Choices for You Now


That fight was actually unprecedented, since McGregor, a recognized MMA fighter, entered the boxing ring for the first time, and even against Mayweiser himself, an unrivaled champion. This circumstance provided fertile ground for debate and speculation, but it was a huge headache for anyone who tried to predict the result, since predictions, as you know, are based on the past, which forms our idea of ​​the future. So what can players do in such unique circumstances? In our opinion, they can turn to the approach developed by the Nobel laureate in nuclear physics. In Sportsbooks.ag you can have the smart

The Forecast

Forecasting is a quantitative science. The more historical data you have, the more likely you are to create an accurate pictureusing a specific system or model of what the future might look like. When someone relies on existing knowledge, determining their impact on a specific event from a data set, he can give more accurate predictions than existing ideas. Good examples are weather forecasts or outright bets on the English Premier League football.

However, when there is no data, it all comes down to a qualitative analysisthe construction of reasoned arguments about what could happen. This method may not seem better than to wet your finger and poke it in the air to determine the direction of the wind, but here science helps us in the form of the Fermi method.

  • When teaching this approach, for example, he asked his students questions such as, “How many piano tuners do Chicago have?” This is not a trick question. Try spending a few minutes pondering the question and sketch out a master plan based on a series of subqueries with estimates that will allow you to come up with a reasonable answer to the main question.
  • Using your guesses for the first three questions, you can calculate how many hours of tuning a piano are spent in Chicago annually and divide them by the number of hours that one tuner spends during the year. In the end, you can get a reasonable guess as an answer to the main question. Of course, to answer questions one, two, and three, you must break them down into additional subtasks.

Therefore, for the first question, you will need to guess the population of Chicago, using any knowledge about the population of other US cities. You can assume that the figure will be somewhere between 2-2.5 million inhabitants (actually 2.7 million).


Then you need to find out what percentage of people has a piano at home: according to empirical rule, the ratio can be one in 100 (that is, about 25,000 if you use the upper hypothetical border for the population). Then you need to add here the used tools for bars, clubs, schools, etc. thus, the number can be doubled to 50,000.

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